Tuesday, August 11, 2020

2019 Nov (Multiplier GDP) Paper 1 HL

 2019 Nov (Multiplier GDP) Paper 1 HL

(4) (a) Explain the effect an increase in investment might have on RGDP using the Keynesian multiplier.

 

Definitions


RGDP – Real GDP is an inflation-adjusted measure that reflects the value of all goods and services produced in an economy in a given year (expressed in base-year prices) and are often referred to as “constant-price”, “inflation-corrected”, or “constant-dollar” GDP.

Investment – addition of capital stock to the country

 

Keynesian Multiplier - below


(AD to AD1 is the initial increase in investment but then the multiplier effect pushes AD to AD3. Therefore the RGDP (Real Output) also increases)


An initial increase in investment, a component of AD, leads to multiple successive increases in AD and RGDP.

 

Explanation – When there is an injection into the system (government expenditure, investment) incomes increase by the amount of the injection at first. However, the increase does not stop there. Assume MPC = 0.5, such that 50% of the additional household income is spent on consumption. With an initial injection of $100, total income increases by $100. The $100 is then paid out to households as factor income (wages) by firms. Household income increase by $100. As MPC is 0.5, households spend 50% of their income, which is $50 spent as consumption expenditure to firms then firms gain $50 and again pay $50 as factor income to household (workers). From the $50 income households now spend $25 on consumption.

 

This in essence is the Keynesian Multiplier formula 1/(1-MPC) or 1/MPS, if the MPC = 0.5 then the MPS = .5 therefore 1/.5 = 2 and the 2 is the Multiplier.

 

An initial increase in investment of $100 x 2 = $200 is the total income (RGDP) generated by the initial increase in income (investment) of $100.

Monday, August 10, 2020

2019 Nov (GNI) Paper 1 HL

2019 Nov (GNI) Paper 1 HL


(3) (b) Discuss whether the real gross national income (GNI) per capita of a country is a good indicator of its standard of living.

 

Definition

 

GNI - GNI is the total amount of money earned by a nation's people and businesses. It is used to measure and track a nation's wealth from year to year. The number includes the nation's gross domestic product plus the income it receives from overseas sources.

(RGNI = GNI – Inflation)

 

GNI = GDP + Net Income from Abroad

RGNI Per Capita – RGNI/# of citizens in the country

Nominal vs Real = Nominal is not adjusted for inflation and is measured with current prices, which are the prevailing prices at the time of measurement. However prices change over time. If there was a 10% increase in NGNI, we cannot comprehend whether the increase in nominal GNI is brought upon by an increase in output or price level. To allow meaningful comparisons over time, GNI has to be measured in real terms as RGNI, where GNI is adjusted for inflation so the price level of goods and services are held constant.

RGNI per capita is a good indicator of a standard of living such as higher average incomes leading to higher consumption, greater tax revenue for public services, less poverty.

There are limitations of using RGNI per capita to measure the standard of living such as the lack of information about the distribution of income and the composition of output, measurement problems and non-income factors (leisure time, quality of environment) affecting the well-being of the population; considerations of alternative measures such as HDI and the “green GDP” per capita; considerations of the meaning of “a standard of living”.

The Lorenz curve is a way of showing the distribution of income (or wealth) within an economy. Max O. Lorenz developed it in 1905 for representing wealth distribution. The Lorenz curve shows the cumulative share of income from different sections of the population. The 45 degree line is an economy that has zero income inequality. The further the line is away from the 45 degree the more income inequality. Recognize that the Country Z is more unequal in income that Country X.


The Gini coefficient can then be thought of as the ratio of the area that lies between the line of equality and the Lorenz curve (marked A in the diagram over the total area under the line of equality

2019 Nov (Fiscal Policy Circular Flow) Paper 3 HL

 2019 Nov (Fiscal Policy Circular Flow) Paper 3 HL

(3) (a) Explain the impact that a cut in taxes (expansionary fiscal policy) and an increase in government spending (also an increase in fiscal policy) might have on the circular flow of income.

 

Definition

 

Circular Flow of Income – demonstrates how money, goods and services flow through an economy.

 

(Indirect/Direct) Taxation – Taxes may be classified as direct or indirect. Direct taxes are levied on a person’s income or wealth and indirect taxes on goods and services.

 

Government Spending – Expenditures by the Local, State or Federal government.



Understand that as Taxes are cut (expansionary fiscal policy) disposable income increases and as Government Spending increases citizens will have more income to spend on goods and services (an decrease in taxes would be a reduction of a leakage and an increase in government spending is an injection). Therefore there will be an increase (flow of) in incomes.




2019 Nov (Monopoly) Paper 1 HL

 

2019 Nov (Monopoly) Paper 1 HL


Microeconomics

 

(2) (b) Discuss the view that barriers to entry in a monopoly will always lead to abnormal profits in the long run.

 

·      Definitions of barriers to entry, monopoly, abnormal (economic) profit, long run.

·      Diagram showing a monopoly realizing abnormal profit.

·      Explanation that monopoly firms can maintain monopoly profits in the long run because of barriers to entry such as economies of scale, branding and legal barriers.

·      Examples of specific barrier to entry that enable monopoly firms to make abnormal profits in the long run practice.

·      Synthesis or evaluation

 

Definitions

 

Barriers to Entry – are the constraints that keep other firms from entering a market /industry and they include (1) Resource ownership (2) Patents and copyrights (3) Government restrictions and (4) EOS/start up costs

 

Monopoly – when a single person or entity is the sole supplier of a good/service.

 

Abnormal (Economic) Profits – profit above a normal return on their investment

 

Long Run – all factors of production are variable.

 

Abnormal Profit Monopoly & Perfectly Competitive Firms

Monopoly firms do not always earn abnormal profits even with barriers to entry due to:

·      Insufficient demand of products  - (resulting from changing consumer tastes, technological obsolescence)

·      Government Regulation – governments often regulate or naturalize monopolies resulting in lower prices and profits.

·      Different Goals – monopolies often have different goals than profit maximization, such as revenue maximization, technological development.

 

CONTROL OF A PHYSICAL RESOURCE

Another type of natural monopoly occurs when a company has control of a scarce physical resource. In the U.S. economy, one historical example of this pattern occurred when ALCOA—the Aluminum Company of America—controlled most of the supply of bauxite, a key mineral used in making aluminum. Back in the 1930s, when ALCOA controlled most of the bauxite, other firms were simply unable to produce enough aluminum to compete.

As another example, the majority of global diamond production is controlled by DeBeers, a multi-national company that has mining and production operations in South Africa, Botswana, Namibia, and Canada. It also has exploration activities on four continents, while directing a worldwide distribution network of rough diamonds. Though in recent years they have experienced growing competition, their impact on the rough diamond market is still considerable


LEGAL MONOPOLY

For some products, the government erects barriers to entry by prohibiting or limiting competition. Under U.S. law, no organization but the U.S. Postal Service is legally allowed to deliver first-class mail. Many states or cities have laws or regulations that allow households a choice of only one electric company, one water company, and one company to pick up the garbage. Most legal monopolies are considered utilities—products necessary for everyday life—that are socially beneficial to have. As a consequence, the government allows producers to become regulated monopolies, to insure that an appropriate amount of these products is provided to consumers. Additionally, legal monopolies are often subject to economies of scale, so it makes sense to allow only one provider.


PROMOTING INNOVATION

Innovation takes time and resources to achieve. Suppose a company invests in research and development and finds the cure for the common cold. In this world of near ubiquitous information, other companies could take the formula, produce the drug, and because they did not incur the costs of research and development (R&D), undercut the price of the company that discovered the drug. Given this possibility, many firms would choose not to invest in research and development, and as a result, the world would have less innovation. To prevent this from happening, the Constitution of the United States specifies in Article I, Section 8: “The Congress shall have Power . . . To Promote the Progress of Science and Useful Arts, by securing for limited Times to Authors and Inventors the Exclusive Right to their Writings and Discoveries.” Congress used this power to create the U.S. Patent and Trademark Office, as well as the U.S. Copyright Office.

 

Patent

A patent gives the inventor the exclusive legal right to make, use, or sell the invention for a limited time; in the United States, exclusive patent rights last for 20 years. The idea is to provide limited monopoly power so that innovative firms can recoup their investment in R&D, but then to allow other firms to produce the product more cheaply once the patent expires.

 

Trademark

A trademark is an identifying symbol or name for a particular good, like Chiquita bananas, Chevrolet cars, or the Nike “swoosh” that appears on shoes and athletic gear. Roughly 1.9 million trademarks are registered with the U.S. government. A firm can renew a trademark over and over again, as long as it remains in active use.

A copyright, according to the U.S. Copyright Office, “is a form of protection provided by the laws of the United States for ‘original works of authorship’ including literary, dramatic, musical, architectural, cartographic, choreographic, pantomimic, pictorial, graphic, sculptural, and audiovisual creations.” No one can reproduce, display, or perform a copyrighted work without permission of the author. Copyright protection ordinarily lasts for the life of the author plus 70 years.

 


Friday, August 7, 2020

2019 Nov (EOS) Paper 1 HL

2019 Nov (EOS) Paper 1 HL 

Microeconomics

(2)  (a) Explain how 2 types of Economies of Scale (EOS) can lead to a fall in long-run average costs.

 

·      Definitions of economies of scale, long run average costs.

·      Diagram to show movement along the downward-sloping portion of the long-run average cost curve.

·      Explanation of how economies of scale lead to lower average costs as a firm increases scale of production in the long-run that refers to 2 clearly different types of economies of scale, such as specialization, efficiency, marketing and indivisibities.

·      Examples of specific firms (or industries) that have possibly experienced falling long run average costs in practice because of economies of scale.

Definitions

EOS = a decrease in long-run unit costs gained by an increased level of production.

Long-Run Average Costs = all possible combinations of fixed and variable factors.

 

 

Diagram to show movement along the downward-sloping portion of the long-run average cost curve.

Explanation of how economies of scale lead to lower average costs as a firm increases scale of production in the long-run that refers to 2 clearly different types of economies of scale, such as specialization, efficiency, marketing and indivisibities.

Specialization and Division of Labor – at large scale firms can have employees specialize in specific roles, which they are best at. (Think lawyers, accountants, managers)

Bulk Buying – buying more allows for negotiation of a lower price.

Financial Economies – easier for large company to take out money with less interest, due to relationships.

Transport Economies – same amount of energy to move more stuff, so cost per item is reduced.

Large Machines – small companies can’t justify large machines, large machines can produce at lower costs.

Promotional Economies – larger companies are better at advertising with larger budgets.

Indivisibilities – the physical inability, or economic inappropriateness of running a machine or some other piece of equipment at below its operational capacity and as a result the machine would be under-utilized and the unit of average cost would be greater than if the machine were optimally employed.





Examples of specific firms (or industries) that have possibly experienced falling long run average costs in practice because of economies of scale.


Procter and Gamble (PG) is a large brand management company. The company owns more than 20 billion-dollar-brands, and another 20 or more half-billion-dollar brands, mostly in the area of consumer products. Procter and Gamble’s extensive distribution network allows it to reach over 4 billion customers, with plans to reach up to 5 billion customers in the next few years as they continue their international expansion. The company spends more money on consumer and market research than any other corporation.

 

Walmart (WMT) is the largest US supplier of groceries, and the largest US general retailer. They can buy in such enormous bulk, and force suppliers to accept such low prices, so they can sell at low prices to customers. Costco has been piercing Walmart’s moat by accepting a net profit margin of half of what Walmart has, in an attempt to compete on price and to grow. Amazon’s amazingly quick growth with its online retail model poses a threat as well. But the United States has the largest income inequality among any large and developed nation, and it’s also one of the only developed countries that is expected to have sustained population growth over the next several decades. Walmart, with its low prices, targets the millions of low income Americans and so even with well-performing competitors, I find it unlikely that Walmart will be dislodged from its position any time soon. I believe the next ten years will likely result in much better returns for WMT stock than the last ten years, since I expect their EPS growth to continue, and the stock is not overvalued as it was ten years ago.

 

United Parcel Service (UPS)

In 2002, Deutsche Post, the world’s largest logistics company, acquired DHL Express, a US-based carrier. In 2003, Deutsche Post acquired Airborne Express, an express carrier and air cargo company. The plan was to compete with UPS and FedEx in domestic US shipping. After five years and over $10 billion in losses, Deutsche Post gave up and left the US domestic shipping market. They simply couldn’t compete with the duopoly of UPS and FexEx. UPS and its rival FedEx are simply too large, and have such breadth of entrenched distribution networks, that one of the largest companies in the world couldn’t dislodge them even after a sustained effort. With the takeoff in online retailers (which need to ship individual packages all over the country), as well as the continued net losses of the United States Postal Service, I can only expect that UPS and its smaller rival FedEx will continue to grow and further strengthen their already formidable positions. UPS alone delivers over 15 million packages a day, and regularly delivers to over 200 countries and territories.


Thursday, August 6, 2020

2019 Nov (Multiplier) Paper 3 HL

 2019 Nov (Multiplier) Paper 3 HL

If the MPC is .75 then the MPS = .25 the Multiplier Formula = 1/MPS


2019 Nov #3 (Exchange Rate Growth Current Account Linear Demand) Paper 3 HL

 2019 Nov #3 (Exchange Rate, Growth, Current Account, Linear Demand) Paper 3 HL




 

(a)  (i) If a visitor to Gardia from the US buys a towel that costs 23 gamma, calculate the cost in US$.

 

$1 = 6.2 gamma

 

23/6.2 = $3.71

 

    (ii) More foreign tourists are visiting Gardia. Outline the effect on the value of the gamma. Give a reason for your answer.

 

As more tourists visit Gardia, they will demand more Gamma to exchange for their foreign currency. This higher demand for Gamma’s will cause the Gamma to appreciate (become stronger).

 

    (iii) State 2 factors that could cause Gardia’s current account to be in a deficit, even though its balance of trade in goods is in surplus.

 

(Understand that the current account consists of more that just goods.)

 

·      Gardia could have a greater deficit on its service account, transport or insurance or tourism.

·      Gardia could have a greater deficit on its income account, in profits, interest or dividends on its overseas assets or in salaries paid from overseas (remittances might be included here)

·      Gardia could have a greater deficit on its current transfer/transfer payments in overseas aid or income remittances or pensions paid overseas.

 

    (iv) Determine the size of Gardia’s current account surplus/deficit when the sum of the financial and capital accounts is US$2 billion.

 

A surplus in the capital account is a deficit in the current account.

 

**A deficit of US$2 billion**

 

(b)  Gardia is aiming to increase its economic growth rate. Explain 2 sources of economic growth for economically less developed countries.

 

·      Human Capital – education or more skill training for citizens

·      Technology Development - or use of technology that increase productivity

·      Technology Adoption – adopting and implementing innovative technologies from overseas with market potential, ex electric cars

·      Institutional Changes – improving the efficiency of the legal system or establishing and protecting property rights.

·      Foreign Direct Investment – to process local materials so that there is more value added domestically or to provide appropriate technologies.

·      Expansionary Fiscal Policy – that will increase AD through raising G or lowering income taxes

·      Export Promotion – that will increase AD or that furthers vertical integration in the export sector.

·      Depreciation of exchange rates – that will lead to exports becoming more competitive/ imports less competitive: so AD increases.


(c) Calculate the additional cost of paying back the loan in gamma in 2019, due to the interest and the change in the exchange rate.

 

2018: 4 x 5.3 = 21.2

2019: 4.2 x 6.2 = 26.04

 

26.04 – 21.2 = 4.84m gamma


(d) Calculate the equilibrium exchange rate for the US$ in terms of gamma.

(e) Plot and label the new supply curve on Figure 2.

 

Qs = -.5 + g

 

Step 1 – Make (Qs zero) and solve for g

 

0 = -.5 + g

g = .5

US$ (0)  = (.5 gamma)

 

Step 2 – Make (g zero) and solve for Qs

 

Qs = -.5 + 0

Qs = -.5

US$ (-.5)  = (0 gamma)

 

Step 3  - Choose a number for Qs (greater that .5) and solve (I choose 8)

 

Qs = -.5 + g

8 = -.5 + g

add .5 to both sides

8.5 = g

US$ (8) = (8.5 gamma)


(f) (i) Using Figure 2, calculate how many US$ are needed to buy one gamma at the new exchange rate.

 

Look at the graph – equilibrium occurs at US$ (3) for gamma (3.5)

So 1 US$/ 3.5gamma = .285 or 29cents

1gamma = .29$

 

(ii) State 2 reasons that could have caused an increase in the Supply of US$.

 

·      US increases imports or Gardia increases its exports (same thing)

·      Gardia’s interest rates increase or US interest rates decrease

·      Gardia’s inflation rate (PL) falls or the US inflation rate increases

·      US incomes rise at a faster rate than Gardia’s incomes

·      More investment (financial and/or direct) flowing from the US to Gardia

·      US gov’t/cental bank using dollars to buy gamma

·      Speculative selling of dollars (because of expected depreciation)