Showing posts with label Growth. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Growth. Show all posts

Tuesday, August 11, 2020

2019 Nov (Supply-Side, Growth) Paper 1 HL

 2019 Nov (Supply-Side, Growth) Paper 1 HL

(4) (b) Discuss the view that interventionist supply-side policies are the most effective way for a government to achieve economic growth.

 

Definition

 

Supply-Side Policies – aim at positively affecting the production side of the economy.

 

Interventionist Supply-Side Policies – means the government directly participates in improving the quantity and quality of factors of production to improve total productive capacity.

 

Economic Growth – is the increase in real output in an economy over a period of time.

 

Diagram

 

Show either an increase in both AD & LRAS or the PPC (shifting out) to show economic growth.






 

Interventionist Supply-Side Policies

 

(1)  Investment in Human Capital – The government can invest in education and training and raise the productivity level of its workers. (More educated workers tend to produce more) Ex. Singapore has focused on developing its human capital from its establishment, through mandatory education and incentives for firms to train their employees.

 

(2)  Investment in New Technology – The government can have policies to encourage research and development or to invest in new technology. Ex. During the Cold War era in 1960, the US invested heavily in space technology as it was falling behind the Soviet Union. Due to governmental policy, there was a rapid advance in aerospace technology.

 

(3)  Investment in Infrastructure – The government can invest in essential facilities and services such as roads, airports, and sewage treatment that add to the capital stock of the economy and are necessary for successful economic activities. Ex. Heavy investment in high-speed broadband networks during the dot-com bubble in the early 2000s has provided the necessary infrastructure for data-heavy internet uses today such as video-streaming and cloud computing.

 

(4)  Investment in Industrial Policies – The government may use targeted industrial policies to promote in key growth areas of the economy through the use of tax allowance, tax credits or subsidized lease programs. Ex. Korea and Taiwan have used active government support and directives in strategic industries (such as shipbuilding and microchip manufacturing) to drive economic growth.) The Hong Kong government has offered incentives e.g. rental subsidies to IT startups.

 

Strengths of Interventionist Supply-Side Policies

 

(1)  Addressing market failures resulting from positive externalities – Certain types of investment (such as education and infrastructure) have large positive externalities and would be unprovided under a market system. Government involvement would address the under-provision of the investments.

 

(2)  Creation of Employment – Most interventionist policies have an element of increased government spending and this has the dual effect of creating employment during the use of the policy (jobs provided by construction projects) and after the implementation policy (increased business demand with better roads).

 

(3)  Impact on Economic Growth – Investment in factors of production is essential for sustained growth in the long-term. Policies that directly increase such investment, or encourage private investment, have a positive impact on economic growth.

 

Weaknesses of Interventionist Supply-Side Policies

 

(1)  Impact on Government Budget – Interventionist policies involve higher government spending which increases the government’s budget. Increased government spending has to either come from increased taxes, selling of state owned enterprises, or raising debts.

 

(2)  Time Lag – It takes time to implement interventionist polices and it takes time for these policies to be fully realized. Ex. The construction of hospitals and ports obviously have benefits to society but might not be realized for a number of years.

Thursday, August 6, 2020

2019 Nov #3 (Exchange Rate Growth Current Account Linear Demand) Paper 3 HL

 2019 Nov #3 (Exchange Rate, Growth, Current Account, Linear Demand) Paper 3 HL




 

(a)  (i) If a visitor to Gardia from the US buys a towel that costs 23 gamma, calculate the cost in US$.

 

$1 = 6.2 gamma

 

23/6.2 = $3.71

 

    (ii) More foreign tourists are visiting Gardia. Outline the effect on the value of the gamma. Give a reason for your answer.

 

As more tourists visit Gardia, they will demand more Gamma to exchange for their foreign currency. This higher demand for Gamma’s will cause the Gamma to appreciate (become stronger).

 

    (iii) State 2 factors that could cause Gardia’s current account to be in a deficit, even though its balance of trade in goods is in surplus.

 

(Understand that the current account consists of more that just goods.)

 

·      Gardia could have a greater deficit on its service account, transport or insurance or tourism.

·      Gardia could have a greater deficit on its income account, in profits, interest or dividends on its overseas assets or in salaries paid from overseas (remittances might be included here)

·      Gardia could have a greater deficit on its current transfer/transfer payments in overseas aid or income remittances or pensions paid overseas.

 

    (iv) Determine the size of Gardia’s current account surplus/deficit when the sum of the financial and capital accounts is US$2 billion.

 

A surplus in the capital account is a deficit in the current account.

 

**A deficit of US$2 billion**

 

(b)  Gardia is aiming to increase its economic growth rate. Explain 2 sources of economic growth for economically less developed countries.

 

·      Human Capital – education or more skill training for citizens

·      Technology Development - or use of technology that increase productivity

·      Technology Adoption – adopting and implementing innovative technologies from overseas with market potential, ex electric cars

·      Institutional Changes – improving the efficiency of the legal system or establishing and protecting property rights.

·      Foreign Direct Investment – to process local materials so that there is more value added domestically or to provide appropriate technologies.

·      Expansionary Fiscal Policy – that will increase AD through raising G or lowering income taxes

·      Export Promotion – that will increase AD or that furthers vertical integration in the export sector.

·      Depreciation of exchange rates – that will lead to exports becoming more competitive/ imports less competitive: so AD increases.


(c) Calculate the additional cost of paying back the loan in gamma in 2019, due to the interest and the change in the exchange rate.

 

2018: 4 x 5.3 = 21.2

2019: 4.2 x 6.2 = 26.04

 

26.04 – 21.2 = 4.84m gamma


(d) Calculate the equilibrium exchange rate for the US$ in terms of gamma.

(e) Plot and label the new supply curve on Figure 2.

 

Qs = -.5 + g

 

Step 1 – Make (Qs zero) and solve for g

 

0 = -.5 + g

g = .5

US$ (0)  = (.5 gamma)

 

Step 2 – Make (g zero) and solve for Qs

 

Qs = -.5 + 0

Qs = -.5

US$ (-.5)  = (0 gamma)

 

Step 3  - Choose a number for Qs (greater that .5) and solve (I choose 8)

 

Qs = -.5 + g

8 = -.5 + g

add .5 to both sides

8.5 = g

US$ (8) = (8.5 gamma)


(f) (i) Using Figure 2, calculate how many US$ are needed to buy one gamma at the new exchange rate.

 

Look at the graph – equilibrium occurs at US$ (3) for gamma (3.5)

So 1 US$/ 3.5gamma = .285 or 29cents

1gamma = .29$

 

(ii) State 2 reasons that could have caused an increase in the Supply of US$.

 

·      US increases imports or Gardia increases its exports (same thing)

·      Gardia’s interest rates increase or US interest rates decrease

·      Gardia’s inflation rate (PL) falls or the US inflation rate increases

·      US incomes rise at a faster rate than Gardia’s incomes

·      More investment (financial and/or direct) flowing from the US to Gardia

·      US gov’t/cental bank using dollars to buy gamma

·      Speculative selling of dollars (because of expected depreciation)